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About Me

Retired chief investment officer and former NYSE firm partner with 50 plus years experience in field as analyst / economist, portfolio manager / trader, and CIO who has superb track record with multi $billion equities and fixed income portfolios. Advanced degrees, CFA. Having done much professional writing as a young guy, I now have a cryptic style. 40 years down on and around The Street confirms: CAVEAT EMPTOR IN SPADES !!!

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Stock Market -- Just Curious Right Now

the Value Line Arithmetic index ($VLE) is a favorite of mine and has been a market leader
in the current cyclical bull market. It is a broad 1700+ stock unweighted composite. The
stock market has struggled over the past six months. The $VLE did make higher highs this year,
but has given up some significant ground since the end of Apr. What intrigues me is that on a
closing price basis, the index, despite its volatility, has held support on each of the trims it
has experienced. $VLE chart.

It has held at or near the 2875 level on a half dozen occasions over the past six months, and I
am reluctant to turn negative on the market when this key index -- a decent measure of the action
of the average stock -- steadfastly and successfully tests support.

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